Demographics over time · Yerevan · share of population + headcount Open full view ↗
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0%25%50%75%100%1.1MEVENTSArmenianAzerbaijaniRussian13k1.1M1.1M182718731897192619391959198920241827event1885event1918events ×21920event1921uprising1965genocide1988event1997war1998event1999atrocity2008atrocity2018event2026event

Background

President Levon Ter-Petrosyan argued in 1997 that Armenia should accept a phased compromise on Karabakh, warning that time was not automatically on Armenia's side. Key ministers, including Robert Kocharyan and Vazgen Sargsyan, rejected the approach.

Transition

Ter-Petrosyan resigned in February 1998. Kocharyan, formerly leader of Karabakh and then Armenia's prime minister, won the presidency. His rise brought the Karabakh leadership network into the centre of Armenian state power.

Meaning

The transition fixed a strategic bet: Armenia could preserve the 1994 position without accepting near-term territorial compromise. For a time, that seemed plausible. The line held, and negotiations produced no imposed settlement. But the long-term balance shifted as Azerbaijan's oil revenues and military capacity grew editorial.

Kocharyan's presidency is therefore central to debates over responsibility for the later catastrophe. Supporters argue that he defended victory and state security. Critics argue that his era normalised corruption, democratic rollback and strategic delay contested. Both readings are necessary to understand why the Velvet Revolution later carried such force.

  1. Levon Ter-Petrosyan, War or Peace? Time to Be Serious, 1997
  2. Thomas de Waal, Black Garden: Armenia and Azerbaijan Through Peace and War, 2003
  3. Laurence Broers, Armenia and Azerbaijan: Anatomy of a Rivalry, 2019